Monday, September 24, 2012

Mythbusters! Part Two (Update #1)

Last week, I posted data on the ITF's 2011 doping controls for the top-20 WTA and ATP players. Below is the data for 2010.

The two tables show the 2010 ITF testing data for the top-20 ATP and WTA players based on the 2010 year-end tour rankings. The tables contain the ranges for in-competition (IC) and out-of-competition (OOC) testing. The "Min" and "Max" columns show the minimum and maximum number of doping controls possible given a player's testing ranges.

There are no real surprises here, except for the fact that five players were tested between 4-6 times OOC, which I would interpret as targeted testing, based on the ITF's overall lack of OOC controls. On the other side of the equation, there are seven players who the ITF did not collect any OOC samples from in 2010. And, of course, there is no evidence indicating players are approaching 20 or more controls.

Update #1: It's worth noting that, in 2010, David Ferrer and Maria Kirilenko, were in the 4-6 OOC range. Anabel Medina Garrigues also fell into that range in 2010. All three players, as readers of this blog know, train at TenisVal.

Table 1. ITF Doping Controls, WTA Year-end Top-20, 2010

Rank Name IC OOC Min # of Tests Max # of Tests
1 Caroline Wozniacki 7+ 0 7 8+
2 Vera Zvonareva 4-6 1-3 5 9
3 Kim Clijsters 4-6 1-3 5 9
4 Serena Williams 7+ 0 7 8+
5 Venus Williams 7+ 0 7 8+
6 Samantha Stosur 4-6 1-3 5 9
7 Francesca Schiavone 7+ 1-3 8 10+
8 Jelena Janković 7+ 1-3 8 10+
9 Elena Dementieva 4-6 1-3 5 9
10 Victoria Azarenka 7+ 1-3 8 10+
11 Na Li 7+ 0 7 8+
12 Justine Henin 7+ 1-3 8 10+
13 Shahar Pe'er 4-6 1-3 5 9
14 Agnieszka Radwańska 7+ 1-3 8 10+
15 Nadia Petrova 7+ 1-3 8 10+
16 Marion Bartoli 7+ 1-3 8 10+
17 Ana Ivanović 7+ 4-6 11 13+
18 Maria Sharapova 4-6 1-3 5 9
19 Aravane Rezaï 4-6 0 4 6
20 Maria Kirilenko 4-6 4-6 8 12

Table 2. ITF Doping Controls, ATP Year-end Top-20, 2010

Rank Name IC OOC Min # of Tests Max # of Tests
1  Rafael Nadal  7+ 1-3 8 10+
2  Roger Federer  7+ 1-3 8 10+
3  Novak Djokovic  7+ 1-3 8 10+
4  Andy Murray  7+ 0 7 8+
5  Robin Söderling  7+ 1-3 8 10+
6  Tomáš Berdych  7+ 4-6 11 12+
7  David Ferrer  7+ 4-6 11 12+
8  Andy Roddick  7+ 0 7 7+
9  Fernando Verdasco  7+ 1-3 8 10+
10  Mikhail Youzhny  7+ 1-3 8 10+
11  Jürgen Melzer  7+ 1-3 8 10+
12  Gaël Monfils  7+ 1-3 8 10+
13  Jo-Wilfried Tsonga  4-6 1-3 5 9
14  Marin Čilić  7+ 1-3 8 10+
15  Nicolás Almagro  7+ 1-3 8 10+
16  Mardy Fish  1-3 1-3 2 6
17  Ivan Ljubičić  4-6 1-3 5 9
18  Sam Querrey  7+ 1-3 8 10+
19  John Isner  4-6 4-6 8 12
20  Marcos Baghdatis  1-3 1-3 2 6


  1. You pointed out the five players in the top 20 who were tested OOC at least four times. Despite that, only 10 blood samples were taken in total.

  2. Sen, this is off-topic but I see from his latest interview that Nadal is unlikely to play again this year, which includes the London finals.

    1. Quite remarkable that when this injury business started following Wimbledon, Nadal said he needed only 15 days of rest.

    2. Also interesting: Nadal isn't committing to beig ready for the 2013 Australian Open.

      How did his doctors get things so wrong initially?

    3. It's also curious how Nadal's knees packed up on the softer courts of clay and grass. He hadn't been on hardcourts for months. Furthermore, there were no signs during the claycourt season (or on grass) of the knee issues he subsequently claimed were a problem. A tear in the patella tendon (I have had it) is a straightfoward injury and easily diagnosed. Either complete rest is the prescription, or an operation to repair the damaged part of the tendon. I was told that full recovery after surgery would take about 3 months - and so it proved. Nadal has been off the tour since June, has kept changing the date he was expecting to play again, and now is not expected to come back until maybe early next year. Why so long? Why couldn't his doctors have said - "let's operate, you'll be back in about 3 months"? He hasn't even had surgery (so his injury can't be that serious), but he can play golf - which puts a strain on the knee. Anyone else smell a silent suspension?

    4. Well, the docs could obviously not agree about the diagnoses concerning Rafa's Knees (cf. the variegated statements available). Meanwhile, according to the data, the ITF is, of all people, targeting Ana Ivanovic. They may as well target me. Welcome to the Montý Pythón's Flying Circúúús.

    5. I still think he really cut his foot in a restaurant.

    6. As David Ferrer said in an interview today or yesterday, Nadal will come back stronger and might surpass Federer in the Grand Slam count.
      This shows me Ferrer knows this injury is not serious (or there is no injury at all, as most suspect).
      Whatever the reason for his absence, he is using the time to make some improvements in his game (and perhaps even doping, call me cynical).
      So I do believe we will se a fenomenal Nadal, the question is will anybody question the injury BS...

    7. So Nadal sounds doubtful about coming back in time for the AO:

      "I hope you see me in Australia,” he said. That is the biggest goal for me, to come back just before then in Qatar but I cannot say for sure it is going to happen.'' The only thing is to recover well. I want to be 100 percent when I come back. I don’t want to keep playing every day with doubts, not knowing if my knee is going to answer all the questions."

      I'm thinking he's serving a silent suspension, probably for 9 or 12 months. We'll see.

    8. I think he'd better be careful not to catch mono.

    9. Fast forward to end 2013
      "In retrospect, the decision by Nadal and team to get his knees rested proved to be a "grand slam", so to speak. This whole season, he's been playing with renewed vigor, improving his service, volleying and drop shots dramatically, as well as his ability to hammer winners left and right. His stamina is noticeably better than before (and that's no small feat!), and gone are the painful grimaces, from the injuries that plagued him throughout his career. All this has resulted in the historic Grand slam for the young man from Manacor."
      Let's see... but I feel it's a plausible scenario.

    10. The sleaziest hypocrite this sport has ever known. No mean feat,though, considering the mental potential - unless one should give the credit to the teleoperating Uncle Himself, the ever-so proud Iberian (or is it Überian?).

  3. There are tweets indicating that Mardy Fish has pulled out of Shanghai and Tokyo. Anyone have info?

    1. Terra Brasil said it was because of his heart problem, but nothing's official yet.,,OI6177300-EI1867,00-Apos+problemas+no+coracao+Mardy+Fish+segue+afastado+das+quadras.html

      (English Translation:)

      After you discover you have a heart problem, the American tennis star Mardy Fish ended up moving away from the professional tennis circuit and not acts since the U.S. Open. And on Monday, was the announcement that the athlete will be out also the ATP 500 in Tokyo, which will be held between the 1st and 7th of October, and the Masters 1000 in Shanghai, the week after the Japanese competition.

      The Slovakian Martin Klizan first placed on the waiting list, will be the substitute. He recently won the title of number one of his career in St. Petersburg.

      Fish reached the quarterfinals of the U.S. Open, but failed to even get on the court at that stage, which would face Roger Federer. The representative of the United States had already moved away in March after discovering coronary problems after the dispute of Miami Masters.

      Fish underwent surgery for correction and returned to the circuit in July. As a result, he chose not to compete in the Olympics and tournaments focused on preparation for the U.S. Open.

      The return to Mardy Fish of blocks should happen in the ATP 500 Basel, which follows with the inscription American made. The Swiss league is only in its beginning October 22 and will be attended six of the top 20 players, including defending champion Roger Federer, Andy Murray and Argentine Juan Martin Del Potro

    2. Not to draw suspicion to mardy fish, but he was playing so well last year and half with newfound health after losing all that weight. So weight loss should help his heart not harm it. It just seems odd how suddenly he has a heart problem this year. His game is more old style with serve volley. But what seemed to help him propel into top ten was his ability to suddenly run down lots of balls which he could not do earlier in his career which people explain by the weight loss/diet regimen. But could something else have helped him that potentially is harming is heart?

  4. "Update #1: It's worth noting that, in 2010, David Ferrer and Maria Kirilenko, were in the 4-6 OOC range. Anabel Medina Garrigues also fell into that range in 2010. All three players, as readers of this blog know, train at TenisVal."

    Ooh, targetting at work?

    Interesting that Ivanovic basically went away in 2010/2011, and is only now returning.

    Ferrer in 2010 was beginning his return to his top previous level (last seen in 07/08).


    1. I was just about to post the same.

      And the personal attacks on Gagne will start in 3, 2, 1...